CME Group in partnership with the National Stock Exchange of India (NSE) and Standard & Poor’s is to offer S&P CNX Nifty Futures, nearly round-the-clock trading on the CME Globex platform.The institutions now have two new ways to take part in the dynamic opportunities of the Indian stock market - E-mini and E-micro S&P CNX Nifty futures (Nifty 50 futures) which are scheduled to begin trading on Monday, July 19, 2010.

Details about the contracts :

Trading hours will be Monday-Friday, 3:30 p.m. – 3:15 p.m. the next day (except Friday, which closes at 3:15 p.m.) with a trading halt.
Sundays-Thursdays from 9:30-10:30 p.m. CDT (8:30 p.m.-9:30 p.m. CST) coinciding with the hour prior to the NSE opening.

emininifty-emicronifty

This is an interesting listing, thereby providing the Global Institutions to gain exposure to the Indian markets and also arbitrage opportunities from short-term price differences versus the Singapore SGX Nifty futures.

And will this cause any changes in NSE's Trading hours or Nifty futures trading in NSE ? One has to wait and see !

marketstrategyGlobal markets sold off in May primarily over concerns on the ongoing developments in Eurozone. Over the past month, the DowJones and FTSE were down 8% and 7% respectively. There were significant losses on Asian indices as well with Sensex losing 3.5% . By and large, markets were not convinced that the bailout package was the end of the debt problem and feared that more Euro nations could face crisis similar to Greece.

Going by these developments how did India Inc fair?

The Indian corporate sector reported healthy numbers for the fourth quarter. 4QFY10 BSE-30 Index net profit grew a robust 25.9% yoy. The GDP growth for fourth quarter came at 8.6%, a significant improvement over corresponding quarter of the previous year.

So what's in store for Indian markets ?

From hereon, the markets would be focused on the developments on the monsoon front and of course global events. In the past ten months or so, markets have been largely range bound and have been consolidating between 15500-17600 levels. At this level, valuations are not demanding, but reasonable at 14.8X FY2011E EPS and 12.5X FY2012E EPS.

A full-blown, double-dip recession led by sovereign debt issues in Europe and the US may lead to rapid outflow of FII money from India as in 2008, which in turn could lead to a healthy correction. Currently markets are the higher band of 17000 levels and it could test the lower end of about 15500-16000 levels. Break of this lower band could take it lower to about 14000 levels.

Investors could use this global-led correction to invest in a staggered manner, with medium to long term view.

Sensex is above 22,000 ! Surprised ?

The Total Returns Index, not known to many, is nothing but Sensex plus the total dividends announced by sensex companies which are assumed to be reinvested. Though not many are interested in dividends and are concerned about only in the rise in share prices, there is a surprise for them.

The chart below shows dividends are definitely not to be ignored. Interestingly the Total Returns Index is currently above 22,000, while the BSE Sensex is far from 21,000 achieved in Jan 2008.

sensex returns

Hence before calculating your stock returns, check out how much dividends you have received to get the exact returns. Dividends do matter.
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