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Issue Highlights

Issue Period
14/10/15-14/10/16
Price Band (Rs.)
316-328
Issue Size(shares) #
3.63-3.50 crore
Issue Size (Rs.)
1150 crore
Issue Type
100% Book Built
Face Value (Rs.)
10
Listing
BSE,NSE
Industry
Indian chained café market, Logistics
Registrar
Link Intime India Pvt. Ltd.
Minimum Bid Quantity
45 shares
Maximum Retail Subscription
Rs. 1,91,880
BRLM
Axis capital, Edelweiss, Yes bank
# derived figure

Issue Details


Fresh Issue:  3,50,60,976 eq. shares
Equity Shares Outstanding Prior to the Issue: 11,67,32,408
Compulsorily Convertible preference shares (@ Rs. 10): 1,35,74,100
 Equity Shares Outstanding after the Issue: 15,17,93,384 #
 #derived figure

Objects of the Issue

(1)
Financing the coffee business
Rs. 287.5 crore
(2)
Loan Repayment
Rs. 632.8 crore
(3)
General Corporate Purposes
NA

Industry Profile

India is primarily a tea-drinking country especially in non-southern reasons but coffee culture is picking up with the rising prowess of the cosmopolitan culture coupled with the expansion drive of various domestic and international café brands. Per-capita coffee consumption in India was just 110 grams per year in stark contrast to developed world countries with the same being 8 KG per year.
The present organized café market in India is estimated to be Rs. 67 Billion and is supposed to grow at a CAGR of 15 % to Rs. 151 Billion by 2020. 

Company Profile

The company is country’s largest coffee outlet chain with a market share of 46 5 %.  CDEL carries out its businesses with its 40 subsidiaries
The  operates in 4 business segments- Coffee Business, Logistics, Financial Services and Technology Parks  contributing 50 %,37 %,7.5 % and 3 % respectively  of its consolidated revenue.
Presently CDEL boasts 1,423 CCD (Café Coffee Day) and 42 The Lounge outlets.
CDEL operates in the technology parks business through its wholly own subsidiary Tanglin Development Limited or TDL. TDL is engaged in development and management of technology parks and related infrastructure facilities for IT/ITES enterprises.
CCD enjoys leadership position
Sical Logistics Limited (SLL), the 52.83 % owned listed-subsidiary of CDEL, is involved in the business of logistics.
Way 2Wealth SecuritiesPrivate Limited (W2W Securities) is an 85.53% owned subsidiary involved in the business of investment advisory.
The company is also involved in the hospitality business through its wholly owned subsidiary Coffe Day Hotels and Resorts Private Limited (CDHRPL) under the brand name of The Serai.
CDEL holds investment in few IT-ITES companies like Mindtree, Magnasoft, Global edge and Ittiam.


 Promoters & Marquee Investors

V G Siddharth is the CMD and promoter of the company holding around 55% of the pre-issue shares.
A few prominent investors are KKR Mauritius (3.43 %), Nandan Nilkani (1.77%) and Bennett & Coleman Co. Limited (1.17 %).

Risks & Threats

     (1)    The coffee business segment is highly competitive with competitors like Starbucks, Barista and Costa coffee besides the unorganized sector
      (2)    Though company has positive OCF but incurring net losses for past few years
     (3)    A significant number of outlets were closed for various reasons like non-renewal of lease, low revenue generation and the location turning out to be unfavorable. In future, with soaring real estate costs lease renewal shall be a major challenge
    (4)    Unorganized structure still rules the Indian food and beverage industry and many people still prefer to opt road side cheaper options
    (5)    The success of technology parks business depends on the overall condition of the real estate market
(   (6)    Its logistics business is a capital intensive one and may require further equity dilution or debt financing


Financial Profile #

Parameter
FY 15 Annualized
Total Liability to Net worth
10.7
Price to Book Value
10.7
Operating Cash to Sales
.2
AR collection Period (Days)
47
EV/EBITDA
22.5
M-Cap to Sales
2.1
Current Ratio
.9
# using upper end of the price-band and post issue OS shares

Inference

CDEL has a positive operating cash flow but it has been witnessing net losses for past few years as a major chunk of its revenue, is being eaten up  by the finance cost, other expenses and depreciation. Being a loss making company Return Ratios are meaningless and ratios like Price-to-Book and EV/EBITDA come handy.
Post-issue its Price-to Book is almost 11 whereas EV/EBITDA stands at 22.5.
These valuations are stretched for a loss making company like CDEL.
Even after the loan repayment to the extent of  Rs. 633 crore, a significant amount of debt shall be there on books,
Coffee business and Logistics constitute around 87 % of the total revenue whereas the businesses of financial services,technology parks and other businesses are still in their nascent stages.
Though CDEL is the pioneer of cafe culture in India but considering the per-capita coffee consumption in India,cut-throat competition, higher debts on the books and the stretched offer price of the issue, this issue does not seem that intriguing in the short to medium term and its short-term future might be more  influenced by the hype and exuberance of the market than the valuations.

Issue Highlights

Issue Period
24/8/15-26/8/15
Price Band
Rs. 147-155
Issue Size(shares)
3.87 crore shares #
Issue Size (Rs.)
600 crore
Issue Type
100% Book Built
Face Value
Rs. 10
Listing
BSE,NSE
Industry
Container Industry
Registrar
Link Intime India Pvt. Ltd.
Minimum Bid Quantity
95 shares
Maximum Retail Subscription
Rs. 1,91,425 (13 Lots)
# derived figure

Issue Details


Offer For Sale:  58 lakh equity shares/ Rs. 90 crore
Fresh Issue:  3.29 crore equity shares/ Rs. 510 crore
Equity Shares Outstanding Prior To The Issue: 10,97,04,798 equity shares
Equity Shares Outstanding After The Issue: 14,26,08,024 equity shares #
#derived figure

Objects of the Issue
Capacity expansion at Somathane CFS
Rs. 115 crore
Development of the non-notified areas of CFSs
Rs. 54 crore

For the establishment of a logistics park at Valasad
Rs. 315 crore


Industry Profile

Container Industry primarily provides 2 facilities, CFS (Container Freight Station) and ICD (Inland Container Depot).  Both these CFSs and ICDs provide a wide range of services like custom clearance, handling & temporary storage of laden and empty containers (imported or to be exported).
 A CFS is located near a dock port whereas an ICD is situated in the hinterlands. For FY 14, container industry in India was worth Rs. 45 billion (CFS: Rs. 30 billion, ICD Rs. 15 billion).

Company Profile

Navkar Corporation Ltd. is a CFS operator in India with 3 CFSs with the aggregate installed handling capacity of  3,10,000 TEU (Twenty-Foot Equivalent Unit) per annum to its credit-Ajivali CFS 1&2 and Somathane CFS –which are strategically located in the proximity of the JN port. Besides this, Navkar Corp also owns and operates 516 trailers plying between CFSs and the JN port by road.
Navkar Corp also offers the temperature control and hazardous cargo storage and handling services. Its warehouses spread over an aggregate area of around 5,00,000 sq. ft.
A few big shipping line players like United Arab Shipping Agency, NYK line Ltd., Hyundai Merchant Marine, Evergreen Shipping etc avails the company’s services.
Its CFSs are located in close proximity to the JN port in Panvwel and it is worth noting that JN port handles around 56 % of the total container traffic across all the major ports of India.
Navkar Corp Ltd. proposes to establish  a fully integrated logistics park and an adjacent ICD at Umergaon at the Valsad district, Gujarat thus creating a one-stop solution for importers and exporters.

Risks & Threats

(1)    Company’s operations significantly depend on the flow of container traffic through JN Port and any diversion of this traffic to newer ports of the west coast shall adversely impact the revenue of this company
(2)    Navkar’s  Corp’s business infrastructure and operations are concentrated around Panvel and any major geological, economical or other upheaval  shall not auger good for the company
(3)    Growth of the container industry depends on container traffic and the global traffic has been modestly growing at a CAGR  of just 3% for last two years
(4)    The delay in the implementation of the GST (which is supposed to come in effect from April 1,2016) is supposed to affect its revenue growth negatively
(5)    In case of the application of GAAR provisions on the company, the impact on viability and growth of the company would be a severely negative one
(6)    Income tax exemptions u/s 80-IA (4) (1) shall conclude in FY 17 and FY 19 for its two and one CFS respectively
(7)    Being a player of the highly capital intensive industry, high interest regime will be unfavorable for its growth  prospects

Financial Profile #

Parameter
FY 15
PEG (Profit, trailing 4 years)
1.4
Net Profit Margin (%)
22.4
Return on Capital Employed (%)
8.8
Return on Equity (%)
15.8
Total Liability to Net worth
1.1
Price to Book Value
4.4
Operating Cash to Net Profit
.9
TIE (Times Interest Earned)
3.1
AR collection Period (Days)
85
EV/EBITDA
22.6
M-Cap to Sales
6.7
Current Ratio
.9
Profit CAGR (%)
21.8 %

# using upper end of the price-band at post issue equity


Comparison with the Peers #


PEG
NPM (%)
ROCE(%)
ROE(%)
Navkar
1.4
22.4
8.8
15.8
Gati
1.45
2.5
12.9
7.6
GDL
1.91
16.9
23.5
20.3
Container corporation
NM
17.1
17.5
14
Allcargo Logistics
4.07
4.26
15.6
12.6



# moneycontrol data

Inference

The 'comparison with the peers' data shows that valuations of Navkar are not much cheaper than the industry ace GDL. Besides return ratios, GDL is a better company with reliable promoters and better operational expertise. As per the investment perspective in the mind, investing in GDL instead seems as a better and secure choice. The revenue for the company comes from JN port and this dependence on a single source makes it vulnerable to uncertainties.
But considering the present government’s thrust on improving the Indian transportation environment and under this initiative port based SEZs, port connecting highway project at JN port and DFC(Dedicated Freight Corridor) between Mumbai and Delhi  etc will be set up and the same is supposed to boost Navkar’s volume growth.
Clearly, Nvakar is not a short term bet!
Listing gains will depend on the overall market conditions and the underlying euphoria.

 Issue Highlights


Issue Period
7/8/2015-11/8/2015
Price Band
Rs. 615 -640
Issue Size (Rs.)
Rs.260.4 -273.21 crore
Issue Size (Volume)
42,69,000
Minimum Bid Quantity
20 shares
Maximum Retail Subscription
Rs. 1,92,000 (15 lots)
Industry
Power Infrastructure
Listing
BSE,NSE
Registrar
Karvy Computershare

Issue Details



(1)    Fresh issue: 21,28,000
(2)    Offer for sale:  21,41,000
(3)    Outstanding shares prior to the issue: 1,25,82,764
(4)    Outstanding shares after the issue: 1,47,10,764

Company Profile

Power Mech is one of the leading power-Infrastructure Company which provides ETC-BTG (erection, testing and commissioning of boilers, turbine and generators), BOP, civil works and O&M (operations & Maintenance) services to power sector and other allied industries like petrochemical, steel and cement.
For FY 14, erection works constituted around 72 % of the total operating revenue. The company is presently engaged in more than 100 erection works projects across India and abroad.

Risks

1.       This Business is highly working-capital intensive and requires seamless cash flows for debt- repayments and for its working capital requirement. Maintaining working capital requirements often results in  further indebtedness
2.       Industry is highly competitive and international competitors enjoys better access to financial and other resources
3.       Higher interest regime is not favorable for the company
4.       OCF to sales ratio is miniscule at .02
5.       Concentrated client base is a threat

Objects of the Issue

(1)    Repayment of the borrowing
Rs. 24.5 crore
(2)    Towards working capital requirement
Rs. 120 crore
(3)    General Corporate Purposes
NA

Financial Profile

Parameter
FY 14 #
P/E  ##
13.8
P/B ##
3.4
PEGProfit  ##
.4
NPM (%)
5.62
ROE (%)##
24.9
ROCE (%)
33.1
OCF/Sales
.021
# Using Consolidated statements at upper price
@ annualized data
## post issue OS shares

Inference

Though, prima facie fundamentals of this company seem satisfactory but this company has a thin net-profit margin and there lies a miniscule cash flow in comparison to its sales.
Except L&T, other peers like BGR energy, Sunil Hitech and Techno Electric all trade at a lower price to earnings multiple than Power Mech. L&T being a diversified company justifies its higher earnings multiple.
This company works in a highly capital intensive industry and maintaining its working capital at an optimum level- is a perquisite and hence this issue is being floated.
Order book of this company is robust but cancellations and variations too keep on taking place and the same could reduce the size of the order book.
The company mainly caters the thermal power sector and power sector is presently facing a slowdown and as a significant portion of the company’s revenue comes from government entities and as such matters are subjected to changing government policies, red-tapism, corruption, routine reviews and audits etc,, there lies  high compliance costs and sometimes payment gets delayed or disallowed.
I did not find any reason to delve deeper into this issue as in the short run this issue may not be a viable one and in the medium to long run its future prospects are not that bright.
I better skip this issue.
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