Ideal Verge - Your Daily Dose of Knowledge and Inspiration.

There was huge and abnormal activity in Nifty Futures on 20 April 2012 around 2.40 pm, when it fell from 5338 to 5000, a drop of 7% within few seconds. Later it recovered and settled around 5250/5300.  During this crash the number of contracts traded were 35,000 lots or 17.5 lakh shares.  What could have happened and how can a trader protect himself from such wild swings?

To start with, there could be many possibilities which could have caused this crash.The error could be due to wrong punch or entry of  a sell order with a wrong quantity or price. Another possibility is that it may be due to algorithmic trading or prominently known as Algo trading, which is so programmed, that in case there is a fall below a particular price level, the algo will initiate a sell order no matter what the price is. There was also a similar flash crash in US markets in 2010, when Dowjones crashed about 1000 points in a matter of few seconds.

What does this all mean for a trader? As a trader, if you are long or short, you have to hedge your positions to minimize your risks in trading. One has to be prepared for such kind of  flash crashes or up-freeze market, when markets went up 20% in 2009 post-election results.Any retail trader trading nifty futures or other similar derivative products, must hedge his positions buying puts or selling higher strike price calls. Say, one is long in nifty futures at 5300, it is better to sell 5400 strike calls or buy 5200 puts. There are  many more such strategies which could be used depending upon individual trading positions.


As an investor, such wild swings give you big opportunities. Such crashes provide you an opportunity to buy good stocks for long-term, if they come down 15-20% , for no fundamental reason. As always, if wealth creation over the long term is really your objective, it is better for retail investors to invest in mutual funds and leave the rest to the market.
 

Akshaya Tritiya, by Indian tradition, is considered an auspicious day for buying gold. Nowadays, there are quite a few options for investors who want to invest in gold, other than physical gold. Prominent among them are Gold ETFs,Gold Funds and Gold coins from banks. Let us take a look some of the advantages and disadvantages of these products.



Physical Gold or Gold coins: 

Buying and selling physical gold adds substantial costs to your purchases, since jewelers always charges a making cost of 7 to 21 per cent over and above the price of gold. Also, when you want to sell it back to the same jeweler, you would be offered lesser price than the market price, which is a big disadvantage in investing in physical gold.Also storing your physical gold in lockers can cost you about Rs.1000-5000, depending on the institutions which offer you lockers and there are always risks associated with such placements.

As far as Gold coins are concerned, they are similiar to physical gold, involving costs of about 4-5% of the price of the gold.You can either buy these coins from the jeweller or from leading banks. You have to note that,you cannot sell the coins back to the banks as most of them don't offer such facility.

Gold ETFs:

Exchange Trader Funds or ETFs: If you have missed earlier article about Gold ETFs, you can read it here at Gold ETFs. In short, ETFs are cheaper, liquid and easily bought and sold through any stock broker with a Dmat account. Check out the list of Gold ETFs avaialble.

Gold funds: 

Gold funds ( Fund of funds) are similar to ETFs, but more simpler. They don't require Dmat accounts like ETFs and there could be some charges like entry and exit loads. These charges are less than 1%, which is the same you have to pay your stock broker when purchasing ETFs, so not much of a difference. The advantage with gold funds is that they can be bought with any amount as low as Rs.500 or 1000 depending upon the mutual fund. Also, SIP option is available, in which one can invest fixed amount every month. Check out about the features and various Gold Funds.

Conclusion:

Considering the pros and cons of all the investing options available, Gold Funds are better and ideal for retail investors and the next better option could be Gold Etfs. Now the bigger question is whether one can invest in gold at these prices ? Investors need to understand, gold as an asset class has given positive returns for the past 10 consecutive years. The prices cannot go up continously and they can correct and correct substantially. Also investing in gold should be limited to 10-15% of one's portfolio and Gold alone should not be one's core portfolio.

 Invest wisely !

What is Dividend Yield?

Dividends are payments made by a company to their shareholders and these payments are paid out of the profits made during the year. Dividend yields are returns from dividends, which can be calculated by dividing the dividend per share by the current market price of the stock. For e.g., a company quoting at 200, declares a dividend of 10, the dividend yield works out to 5%. High dividend yield stocks are for those investors who are looking for regular income as well as capital appreciation over a longer period of time.

These stocks can be picked up during market down trend or when market trend is not clear. In a downtrend, dividend yields of such companies goes up as the stock prices fall. Before investing in companies that provide high dividend yields, care to be taken that these companies have sound fundamentals, regular dividend paying and  enjoy healthy cash flows. We have picked few stocks which have high dividend yields in the range of 6-9% and with a low P/E ratio. Though the earnings growth of these companies may not be among the highest in the industry, they manage to deliver good results across business and economic cycles. During this time of the year, the companies declare their annual results and dividends. Hence, before investing in these companies, watch out for their annual results and performances as well.




The stocks that are picked have been limited to CNX 500 Index and of course, there are few other stocks outside this index with better yields also. While investing in the above stocks, an investor should limit their exposure to about 15-20% of their portfolio, since dividend-investing alone should not be anyone's investing strategy. If you find any other such high dividend yielding stock which might have missed our attention, please inform us or post them in the comment section.

What is short selling?

Short selling is a a trading technique a trader uses to profit from the falling price of a stock. It is a technique of selling a stock without owning it, with the view that the price is likely to fall further and, hence, there is profit to be made by buying it back at a lower price.

When the market is bearish or in downtrend, it presents a window of opportunity for traders to make money by 'shorting' stocks with the hope that the market will continue to be bearish and this is where short selling comes into picture.  

Is short selling dangerous?

To start with, traders should be aware that short-selling is trading and not investing. They should also be aware that trading requires lot of skills and discipline and there are risks involved with it. To find whether short selling is dangerous or not, let us look at some of the key points below.

•  Historically, individual stocks and equity markets, both domestic and global, have moved upwards (short-term movement aside). Thus, if we agree that the direction of markets is generally bound upwards, then holding on to a short position for a longer time is betting against the historical trend of a market is very risky. 
• A trader should always exit the market once the target is achieved or the stop loss is triggered. But as this discipline in market is against our natural instincts of fear and greed and lack of such discipline, makes the position riskier. 
• Theoretically, one stands to make only limited profit on a short sell with chances of unlimited loss. This is because, the stock price can rise to any level, whereas the gain is limited since the stock price cannot go below zero. 

In Indian equity markets, short selling is typically undertaken via the futures and options route, since short positions in the cash markets can be held only intra-day. One may not be able to carry forward short positions in cash markets, since stock lending and borrowing is yet to kick in a big way to facilitate short selling in cash markets. As for as the futures  are concerned, the quantity or the lot sizes of the stock futures are so high that many are not aware of the huge risks involved in short selling such instruments.

To summarize, though short selling could a profitable strategy occasionally, it could result in substantial losses and it should not be used by investors or traders who are new to the market and who do not understand the dynamics of stock market.

If you were hiking in the mountains and stopped in a small river for a drink only to look up and see a bear charging at you, what would you do? Our instinctual reaction in a life-threatening situation, such as being charged by a bear, is to run. But wilderness experts will tell you that instead of running from a bear, you should curl into a small ball.

The moral of the story is that you can’t outrun a bear. And the same is true of metaphoric bears — a bear market, for example.

Anyone who has invested in the past decade, and especially in the past five years, has seen what finance people call a "bear market". What is a bear market? In the most basic terms, it is exactly what it sounds like: a confluence of unfortunate factors that make the stock market a terrible, scary place to be, especially for inexperienced investors.

Our instinctual response to a bear markets is the same as our reaction to a live bear — we want to run. We want to scramble and get out as soon as possible to protect our investments. The thing about a bear market, though, is that it is a natural period of decline. Inevitably, after a period of large gains, the market will sink. Here are three ways to handle a bear market and come out with all your limbs intact:

1. Don’t run. Just as with real bears, trying to run away from a bear market by selling out and transferring your assets into a cash market will generally yield worse results than just staying put. In fact, by trying to run, you only lock in your losses. Volatility in built into the market system, so you can’t let a bad spell shake your faith. If the market is down, the damage is already done to your investments, so don’t make it worse by jumping ship. Instead, plan for the troughs by taking a long-term approach. If you do this, you’ll be in an optimal position to ride the wave back to a prospering market when it recovers.

2. Take stock. One way to take a long-term approach is to review your asset allocation when the market is down and readjusting the mix based on your risk tolerance. Wise investors will tell you that you should be re-balancing your portfolio at least once a year anyway, regardless of how the market is doing.

3. Be consistent. It’s very important to stay the course, even when the market is down. Typically this means that you should continue to add to your portfolio as you would when the market is up. This strategy is called dollar-cost-averaging — if you have a set amount of money you invest each month, buying more when prices are low and less when prices are high, the average price per share you’ll pay will be less expensive than the standard average share price.

Timing the market is as difficult and futile as running from a bear. So curl up, and wait for the bear to drop you, and you’ll be likely to outperform others who try to run.

By-line:
Alvina Lopez is a freelance writer and blog junkie, who blogs about accredited online colleges. She welcomes your comments at her email Id: alvina.lopez at gmail dot com.

National Buildings Construction Corporation NBCC is coming out with an IPO of 12,000,000 Equity Shares of Rs. 10 each by way of an offer for sale of Equity shares by GOI. The company, started in 1960, is one of the few public sector companies engaged in the business of (i) project management consultancy services for civil construction projects (PMC) (ii) civil infrastructure for power sector and (iii) real estate development.

The company is headquartered in New Delhi and in addition has 10 regional / zonal offices across India. The projects undertaken by the Company are spread across 23 states and 1 union territory in India.

Issue Details:

Issue Open: Mar 22 - Mar 27, 2012.
Issue Size: 12,000,000 Equity Shares of Rs. 10.
Issue Price: Rs.90-Rs.106.
Listing At: BSE, NSE.
CARE Rating: 4 indicating above average fundamentals.
A Discount of 5 % on the Offer Price shall be offered to Retail Bidders and Employees.

Positives of the company:

1.Established brand name and reputation.
2.Operations in diverse sectors with strong Order Book position.
3.Qualified and experienced management.
4.Significant experience and track record.
5.Vast Industry knowledge and technical expertise.

Key Risks:

1.The company's revenues are significantly dependent on our PMC business. Any decline in PMC business, could adversely affect the company's business prospects, financial condition and results of operations.
2.Certain board of directors are involved in a number of legal proceedings, which may adversely impact the company's business reputation.
3.There could be cyclical risks associated with this industry.

NBCC IPO Price:

The EPS for the year ended March 31, 2011 is Rs.11.71 and latest EPS is  Rs.15. The book value stands at Rs. 72 and the issue is being offered at 1.5 times the book value. At the higher end of the offer price band of  Rs.90-Rs.106 , the P/E ratio is 7 times, where most of the infra and construction companies are available. Currently, similar companies under the sector are reeling under pressure and going by the current scenario the issue is an above average one. Though the sector offers substantial growth, the company itself growing at 20%, there are concerns and risk factors which could affect the company's earnings. At the indicative offer price, the issue is better for long-term investors only and for traders who want to sell on listing, it could be a tricky one.