Sai Silks (Kalamandir) IPO Review


Sai Silks (Kalamandir) IPO  Subscription Status as on 13/2/2013

Overall 87 % Issue Subscription

QIB (Qualified Institutional Investors ): 0 Subscription 
NII (Non Institutional Investors): 43 % Subscription
RII (Retail Institutional Investors):1.31 times Subscription


Sai Silks (Kalamandir) IPO  Subscription Status as on 12/2/2013

Overall 60% Issue Subscription

QIB (Qualified Institutional Investors ):0 Subscription 
NII (Non Institutional Investors): 1% Subscription
RII (Retail Institutional Investors):1.08 times Subscription



Sai Silks (Kalamandir) IPO  Subscription Status as on 11/2/2013

Overall 32 % Issue Subscription

QIB (Qualified Institutional Investors ):0 Subscription 
NII (Non Institutional Investors): 0 Subscription
RII (Retail Institutional Investors):91 % Subscription



Issue Highlights
:
Price band
Rs. 70-75
Lot Size
200 equity shares
Maximum Retail Subscription
Rs. 1,95,000 or 13 lots
Issue Period
11/2/2013-13/2/2013
Issue Type
100 % Book Building
Face Value
Rs. 10
Issue Size
89 crore
Registrar
Bigshare services Pvt. Ltd.

Company Profile

‘Sai silks’ was originally started as a partnership firm and was later converted into a public limited company. The company is involved in the retailing of sarees  (under the brand names- Kalamandir, Mandir and Varmahalakshmi),women’s dress material, men’s wear, kid’s wear and gold jewellery.
The company is also involved in electricity generation using wind power project with a capacity of 2 MW in Kurnool district of Andhra Pradesh.

Safety Net Feature of this issue:  Simply put, if  market value of Kalamandir shares fall below the issue price within six months of the allotment, promoters shall buy originally allotted shares from  the resident retail investors with a cap of 1,000 shares.

Concerns

·         This business requires high working capital and this is the sole purpose of the issue
·         Corporate governance issues like FEMA violation charges, IT & gratuity liabilities are worrysome
·         Negative cash flow from operations was seen in the past

Objects of the Issue

·         Setting up of retail outlets: Rs. 12.73 crore
·         Brand promotion expenses: Rs. 8.5 crore
·         Pre-payment of term loan: Rs.: Rs. 90 lakh
·         Working capital requirement: Rs. 60 crore
·         Issue expenses: NA


·          
Financial Profile #

# Post-issue equity considered for the calculation of EPS and BV

Parameter
FY 13 Annualized
EPS
Rs.6.5
P/E
11.5
P/B
2.9
ROE
25.7 %
NPM
4%
Profit CAGR (5 years)
66%
Debt-equity ratio(pre-equity)
4.5

Inference

Though profit CAGR and ROE may seem tempting but this issue leaves no stone unaltered to spook investors. The pre-equity Debt-equity ratio of 4.5 emphasizes the need for floating this issue besides working-capital requirement. But what is interesting to see is only Rs. 90 lakh out of this Rs. 89-crore issue shall be allocated for the debt repayment!
And the reason for the aforesaid is-A company with a network of just Rs. 54.65 crore is raising Rs. 89 crore shall easily bring its debt-equity ratio in a safer territory without any substantial debt repayment.
Sai Silks is trading company with a net profit margin of just 4% and the finance cost of Sai Silks for the fiscal 13 will be as high as Rs. 16 crore (annualized) and still this company overlooking its debt burden that too in this high-interest regime which is quite puzzling.
In short, risk-averse value investors better stay away from this temptation irrespective of the safety net.

Nifty Total Returns Index
 Nifty above 7,700 ! Surprised ?
The Total Returns Index, not known to many, is nothing but Nifty plus the total dividends announced by Nifty companies, which are assumed to be reinvested. Though not many are interested in dividends and are concerned about only in the rise in share prices, this is a surprise for them.
The Total Returns Index is currently above 7,700 (7,713 to be precise as on 1st Feb 2013), while the Nifty is below 6357, the all time high which it achieved in Jan 2008.

There is also Total Returns Index for Sensex which is currently at 26,230 and last time when we wrote about this index it was around 22,000. So what does this mean for a retail investor?  Index investing better and that too investing in index ETFs like Nifty Bees, for a longer period of time, generates good returns along with the dividends announced.
Dividends play an important role in calculating your returns and hence before calculating your stock returns, check out how much dividends you have received to get the exact returns.
Dividends do matter !


V-Mart Retail IPO review


V-Mart reatil IPO Subscription Status as on 5/2/2013

Overall 1.2 times Issue Subscription

QIB (Qualified Institutional Investors ):1.52 times Subscription 
NII (Non Institutional Investors): 1.39 times Subscription
RII (Retail Institutional Investors):79 % Subscription



V-Mart reatil IPO Subscription Status as on 4/2/2013

Overall 7 % Issue Subscription

QIB (Qualified Institutional Investors ):0 Subscription 
NII (Non Institutional Investors): 8 % Subscription
RII (Retail Institutional Investors):13 % Subscription


V-Mart reatil IPO Subscription Status as on 1/2/2013

Overall 2% Issue Subscription

QIB (Qualified Institutional Investors ):0 Subscription 
NII (Non Institutional Investors): 8 % Subscription
RII (Retail Institutional Investors): 2 % Subscription



Issue Highlights

Issue Period
1/2/2013-5/2/2013
Price Band
Rs 195-215
Issue Type
100% Book Building Issue
Issue Size
44,96,000 shares/96  crore
Face Value
Rs. 10
Market Lot
66
Listing
BSE,NSE
Industry
Retail
Maximum Retail Subscription
14 lots/Rs. 1,98,660
Registrar
Karvy Computershare

Issue details:

·         Offer for sale by shareholders: 17,35,000 shares
·         Fresh issue : 27,61,000 shares

Industry Profile:
The structure of Indian retail industry

The rising apparel segment
Indian apparel industry is growing at a CAGR of 9.7 % and  FY 12  figure is supposed to touch Rs. 2,000 billion mark. Factors like rising per capita disposable income, urbanization and rising consumer awareness have contributed to this growth.

Indian apparel industry comprises of two segments- 

     (1)    RTS (ready to stitch) : 30 %
     (2)     RTW(ready to wear): 70 %

The continuous decline seen in RTS segment augurs well for the RTW segment.









Company profile:


V-Mart retail is a New Delhi based retail player offering apparel, general merchandise and Kirana items with a predominant focus on Tier-2 and Tier-3 cities in Northern, western and eastern parts of India. V-Mart currently owns and operates 59 stores spread across 51 cities in 10 states & union territories.
V-mart boasts a total store space of 4.82 lakh sq. ft. with its presence in states like New Delhi, Gujarat, UP, Bihar, Punjab, Chandigarh, Haryana, J&K, Rajasthan and MP.

Strengths

·         V-mart has been a pioneer in setting stores in smaller cities and is supposed to get benefitted from the rising urbanization
·         V-mart has ERP(enterprise resource planning) based supply chain system that leads to efficient inventory and working capital management
·         V-mart has got strong & robust IT infrastructure with a strong emphasis on MIS(management information system)
·         V-mart is  a ‘one stop shop’ for a family and offers a  diversified range of products catering needs of a family

Concerns

·         The retail industry is highly capital-intensive and changing trends in fashion makes the company vulnerable to fierce competition.
·         V-Mart’s operations are mainly restricted to tier-2 and tier-3 cities and these are not lucrative markets in terms of the consumption in comparison to Tier-1 cities

Objects of the issue

·         To open 60 new stores : 69.7 crore
·         Expansion of distribution centers: 4.38 crore
·         Working capital requirement : 10 crore
·         General corporate purposes & issue expenses: NA

Financials

The uptrend in apparel sales

 # All calculations at the upper price band
# All calculations have been done using post-equity outstanding shares unless mentioned otherwise
# Debt-equity ratios are exhaustive

Parameter
FY 12
Post issue Outstanding shares
1,79,58,778
Earnings per share (EPS)
Rs. 5.9
Book Value
Rs. 30.2
P/E
36.4
P/B
7.1
4-year profit CAGR
32%
PEG
1.1
Operating profit margin (OPM) %
10 %
Net profit margin (NPM)
4%
Return on Equity
19.6%
Debt/Equity Ratio (pre-equity) #
2.9
Debt/equity Ratio (Post-equity)#
1.77
EV/EBITDA
16.3

Comparison with peers

# Peer data as per moneycontrol site as on 1/2/2013 for FY 12 unless mentioned otherwise

Company
P/E
NPM
ROE
M-cap
Debt/Equity
V-Mart
36.4
4%
19.6%
Rs. 386 crore
1.77
Pantaloon Retail
20.25
1.81 % ##
2.9 % ##
Rs. 5692 crore
.82 ##
Shoppers Stop
96.05
3.12 %
9.75 %
Rs. 3623 crore
.33
Trent
68.79
4.92 %
3.51%
Rs. 3811 crore
.19


## FY 11 figure

Inference

As evident from the above table V-mart is a much smaller player of the retail industry and thus ‘comparison to peers’ is quite meaningless . In the backdrop of the debacle of v2 reatil (erstwhile known as Vishal Retail   and promoters of both are blood related) this issue appears as a spooking one and hence there was no need of digging deeper into the financials

This issue is being floated mainly to provide an exit rule to the selling stake holder – Naman Finance & Investment Private Ltd. (an AV Birla group investment arm) besides opening new stores and for boosting the working capital. For a smaller company like this a price-to-earnings multiple of 36.4 seems expensive.
Retail industry works on a razor thin margin and players are hit hard in case of a global turmoil (V-Mart’s FY 09 results vouch for the same).
 To cut a long story short, risk-averse value investors should better overlook this issue and in future too they should not be swayed by any post-listing price rise (as the share price of such issues can be easily rigged).

    Disclaimer

Analysis is for the information purpose only. Though due care and caution have been taken while preparing this report, analyst shall not be responsible for any error and shall not bear any financial liability to the users of this report.



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